The Plan to Save Baseball From Boredom
A look at the sport’s home run problem and the big changes this season.
This transcript was created using speech recognition software. While it has been reviewed by human transcribers, it may contain errors. Please review the episode audio before quoting from this transcript and email [email protected] with any questions.
- Mike Schmidt
I have a mild amount of light buzzing. Is that OK?
- Michael Barbaro
That’s because Rob has got his mic on in that control room. But he’s going to turn it off now.
- Mike Schmidt
Bye, Rob.
- Michael Barbaro
Yeah. See ya.
- Mike Schmidt
See ya. That’s a home run call.
[MUSIC PLAYING]
- Michael Barbaro
Oh, really? What’s the — wait, can you just explain that to me?
- Mike Schmidt
So I think the lead announcer for the Yankees on television, when they hit a home run, goes, see ya!
- Michael Barbaro
Oh, because the ball is gone?
- Mike Schmidt
Yeah, yeah.
- Michael Barbaro
Not like, it’s going, it’s going, it’s gone!
- Mike Schmidt
The other Yankee ones — it is high. It is far. It is gone!
- Michael Barbaro
See ya!
- Mike Schmidt
The best is when they get it wrong. It is high, it is far, and he’s shaking. And it’s caught by the center fielder.
- Michael Barbaro
[LAUGHS]:
[MUSIC PLAYING]
From “The New York Times,” I’m Michael Barbaro. This is “The Daily.”
[MUSIC PLAYING]
On opening day of baseball’s 2023 season, Mike Schmidt on a historic plan to save the sport from the tyranny of the home run. It’s Thursday, March 30.
- Mike Schmidt
So I can’t believe that I’m actually going to tell you this. I grew up playing baseball. I remember a handful of memories from my time. The top two are when I gave up home runs.
- Michael Barbaro
Gave them up? Oh, meaning you were the pitcher?
- Mike Schmidt
Correct. Etched in my memory.
- Michael Barbaro
Uh-huh.
- Mike Schmidt
There is nothing more humiliating than standing on the mound after someone has hit the ball over the fence and is running around the bases, celebrating.
- Michael Barbaro
I know. I guess it’s just like an endless shame spiral.
- Mike Schmidt
Correct.
- Michael Barbaro
Everyone’s looking at you. You did that. [LAUGHS]
- Mike Schmidt
I mean, I think about these moments fairly often.
- Michael Barbaro
Right. And then you would later grow up to cover baseball as a journalist, among many other bits you’d have for “The Times.” And the last time that you came on the show to talk about baseball was when the sport was weathering — and in some ways, not weathering — the pandemic. And the reason we asked you to come back is because baseball is now experiencing another major change. So tell us about that change.
- Mike Schmidt
This season, baseball will operate under new rules that are the biggest changes in on-the-field play certainly in my lifetime, if not the history of the game.
- Michael Barbaro
Wow. Just give me a couple tastes of this change.
- Mike Schmidt
Well, the first one that you’ll see is a pitch clock.
- Michael Barbaro
Kind of a shot clock, sort of — yeah a shot clock. But in this case, a pitch clock.
- Mike Schmidt
A pitch clock.
- Michael Barbaro
That is a big change. What else?
- Mike Schmidt
The players will be positioned differently on the field. And the bases are getting bigger. You won’t be able to notice it with your eye —
- Michael Barbaro
[LAUGHS]: But they are bigger.
- Mike Schmidt
But they’ll now be several inches wider, longer.
- Michael Barbaro
Hmm. What is driving these changes, Mike?
- Mike Schmidt
Baseball is facing a semi-existential threat in terms of its appeal to fans. The game has become not only too long, but too boring. The non-baseball fan or baseball hater will sort of be laughing at that because they’ll say —
- Michael Barbaro
It was always boring.
- Mike Schmidt
It was always boring.
- Michael Barbaro
[LAUGHS]:
- Mike Schmidt
But it has tipped over the edge. And I think, as a fan and as someone who has covered the game, who keeps a close eye on it and still talks to people within the game, that the home run is to blame.
- Michael Barbaro
Hmm. That is a provocative thesis.
- Mike Schmidt
Yeah. Look, the home run is the cornerstone of the game. It’s the most exciting play of the game. It’s part of our lexicon in this country. You just knocked it out of the park. But the game has become addicted to the home run. And because of that addiction to the most exciting play in the game, the whole game has become boring.
- Michael Barbaro
So explain how it is, why it is, that the home run goes from something to be celebrated and becomes part of this boring problem of baseball, how we got to this point where we need these reforms.
- Mike Schmidt
So to understand that, we need to go back to the early days of Major League Baseball where the home run was this engine that powered the growth of the sport. Way back in the early 1900s, home runs were not the key driving force of the game. But then came the 1920s.
[MUSIC PLAYING]
A hard-hitting lefty named Babe Ruth —
- Archived Recording 1
Say, Mike, get out there and pitch a few to me, will you?
- Mike Schmidt
— comes along and is a power hitter.
- Archived Recording 2
Oh, boy! Over the fence.
- Archived Recording 1
you think you can do?
- Mike Schmidt
And Ruth captures the country’s attention through his slugging.
- Archived Recording 3
That ball blazed like a bullet when he connected. This is the site the fans came to see.
- Mike Schmidt
And helps the sports popularity grow and set it on a trajectory that it follows in the decades that come.
- Archived Recording 3
Rhodes cuts it to first base. And there goes the ball down the right-field line! A home run into the seats.
- Archived Recording 4
Swing, and a high fly ball going deep left!
- Mike Schmidt
The home run comes to create and define the iconic moments and players of the game.
The Bobby Thomson shot heard around the world.
Figures like Mickey Mantle, Roger Maris.
- Archived Recording 5
Here’s the windup. Fastball hits deep to right!
- Mike Schmidt
Hank Aaron.
- Archived Recording 6
It’s gone! It’s 715! There’s a new home-run champion of all time!
- Mike Schmidt
The home run and the power behind it, with a bit of the Americana of how strong you are and how far you can hit it, becomes a central part of the game.
And then, the story of the home run takes a dramatic turn in the mid -‘90s.
- Michael Barbaro
Remind us what happens.
- Mike Schmidt
1994.
- Archived Recording 7
World Wars and acts of God couldn’t do to baseball what 28 owners and 700 players have done. They killed off the balance of the season.
- Mike Schmidt
The sport is ground to a halt because of a strike.
- Archived Recording 8
The two sides have been locked in a bitter impasse over the owners’ demand for a cap on players’ salaries.
- Mike Schmidt
The World Series is canceled.
- Archived Recording 9
I think the players are pretty greedy, and you know, and I think the owners are, too.
- Archived Recording 10
I hate it, because I mean, they already have enough money.
- Mike Schmidt
And as the sport comes out of the strike, it’s at its most diminished state. No one wants to go back to the park.
- Michael Barbaro
Right, there’s a sense of betrayal. You didn’t play.
- Mike Schmidt
Incredibly damaging to the game. And in 1998, as the sport is still trying to get its legs underneath it, fans witness this extraordinary chase —
[CROWD CHEERING]
- Archived Recording 11
Hello, and goodbye!
- Mike Schmidt
— between Mark McGwire and Sammy Sosa to break the single-season home-run record, which, at the time, had been held by Roger Maris at 61 home runs.
- Archived Recording 12
That’s what everybody around baseball is paying their money to see. McGwire hit. Sosa hit.
- Archived Recording 13
I’m not a player. I just crush a lot. Home run number 58 for McGwire.
- Archived Recording 14
Make it 59!
- Archived Recording 15
60!
- Archived Recording 16
Number 61!
- Mike Schmidt
A feel-good story of two sluggers crisscrossing the country as they try to hit the most home runs.
[CROWD CHEERING]
- Archived Recording 17
Here comes the man of the hour, Mark McGwire, who is —
- Mike Schmidt
On the night of September 8, 1998, McGuire and Sosa are actually playing against each other. And with the commissioner in the stands and the whole country watching —
- Archived Recording 17
— wondering if this is at bat that Mark McGwire moves one place in front of Roger Maris.
Down the left-field line! Is it enough? Gone! There it is! 62!
- Mike Schmidt
McGwire breaks the record. And in this wonderful moment, McGwire and Sosa embrace on the field.
- Michael Barbaro
And the home run has never been more central.
- Mike Schmidt
Correct. And everyone’s trying to hit home runs. It’s not just that these two players are. Home runs are up across the league. Everyone’s hitting home runs.
- Michael Barbaro
Mm-hmm.
- Mike Schmidt
But what happens is that in the years that follow, we find out that that chase that felt so good, and that brought everyone back, was built, in part, on a lie — that the players were using banned drugs.
- Michael Barbaro
Steroids.
- Mike Schmidt
Correct. And not only does it tarnish and create questions about these new records, but it sets off a series of other problems for the sport that go on for the decade-plus that follows.
- Michael Barbaro
Mm-hmm.
- Mike Schmidt
As it’s haunted by federal and congressional investigations into the use of steroids by players.
- Michael Barbaro
And Mike, I have to imagine that steroid use that Sosa and McGuire were involved in was at least somewhat inspired by the game’s emphasis on home runs. So does this scandal lead to any kind of reckoning around the place of the home run, its primacy, in the sport?
- Mike Schmidt
It leads to a reckoning, in the sense that the sport needs to police itself from performance-enhancing drugs. But by no means does anyone turn away from the home run.
- Michael Barbaro
Why not?
- Mike Schmidt
Because a new phenomenon further fuels the drive for the home run. And that’s the Moneyball-ification of baseball.
- Michael Barbaro
All right, just explain that for the 25 listeners who didn’t read the book or watch the movie.
- Mike Schmidt
Teams become very focused on statistics in trying to come up with the greatest chances, mathematically, of scoring and preventing runs.
- Michael Barbaro
Right, this is the firm application, not just of instincts, but of math in the game.
- Mike Schmidt
Correct. And numbers proliferate throughout the sport.
- Michael Barbaro
Mm-hmm.
- Mike Schmidt
Let me give you an example of what this looks like.
- Archived Recording 18
I don’t the last time I’ve seen a four-man infield on the right side.
- Mike Schmidt
Teams have so much data about where players are hitting the ball, that they begin to rearrange their defenses —
- Archived Recording 19
A lot of guys bunched over there in right field.
- Mike Schmidt
— in a way that makes it much harder for a player actually to get a hit, because they’re able to put a fielder exactly where the ball is likely to land.
- Archived Recording 20
And the ball will be hit into the shift. If they get an out, it’s only because of that shift.
- Archived Recording 21
1-1. And Gallo hits this one into that shift.
- Mike Schmidt
And as the sport is grappling with all of this new data and these changes on the field that are responding to it, the home run emerges as, far and away, the most appealing way to score.
- Michael Barbaro
Right, because it’s the only way to cut through all these data-driven defenses that you just described.
- Mike Schmidt
Unless you’re going to put your players on each other’s shoulders in the outfield to try and stop the ball from going over the fence, there’s nothing your fielders can do.
- Michael Barbaro
So in the wake of a steroid scandal that was, in part, inspired by perhaps an overemphasis on home runs, we get a data-driven system that still overemphasizes, arguably, home runs. All roads keep leading back, in baseball, to the home run.
- Mike Schmidt
And it becomes so extreme, that it leads to the problem of boredom that the sport is now confronting.
- Michael Barbaro
We’ll be right back.
So Mike, how exactly do home runs become boring? Home runs, almost by definition, cannot be boring.
- Mike Schmidt
Home runs themselves are not boring. But everything else that comes with everyone in the game concentrating on them is. Because instead of trying to learn how to spray the ball around the field, or someone that can leg out a single to a double or triple, hitters start to concentrate on doing everything they can to just try and hit a home run.
Players become even more patient at the plate, because they’re looking for just that perfect pitch that they can drive over the fence. They change their swing to have more of an uppercut, to try and hit it out of the park. But because you’re swinging up, you’re also more likely to miss.
So in the process of this happening, you end up with one of three results. A strikeout, a walk, or a home run. And home runs don’t happen all that often. So the action on the field goes way down, because you don’t have just regular, good old-fashioned hits.
- Michael Barbaro
Right. You don’t have good old-fashioned baseball anymore. You just kind of have an endless home run derby.
- Mike Schmidt
The time between batted balls in play — that goes from, in the 1980s, being under three minutes, to being almost every four minutes last season.
- Michael Barbaro
So about a minute more time between every single ball in play. And of course, a minute doesn’t sound like much in isolation, but over the course of an entire game, I have to imagine that starts to really add up.
- Mike Schmidt
At the same time, teams that are pitching are trying to do everything to prevent that home run. So they’re bringing in different pitchers. They’re encouraging pitchers to give their max effort on every pitch to try and make sure that they get that strikeout, so there’s no contact to the bat.
- Michael Barbaro
And all of these things are slowing the game down.
- Mike Schmidt
Correct. And games become longer. They become 20 to 30 minutes longer, on average.
- Michael Barbaro
And so at what point does the league say to itself, all right, enough, we have got to do something about this, we’ve got to make this sport more fun, we’ve got to make it faster?
- Mike Schmidt
So it being baseball, it took a while.
- Michael Barbaro
It’s a slow sport. [CHUCKLES]
- Mike Schmidt
Thematic. In this story, there’s one person who made that call.
- Speaker 1
Hi.
- Mike Schmidt
Hi.
- Speaker 1
How can I help you?
- Mike Schmidt
I’m Mike Schmidt. I’m here to see the commissioner.
- Mike Schmidt
So I went directly to him. I went to the offices of the baseball commissioner, Rob Manfred.
- Mike Schmidt
So I’ve known you for almost 17 years. We have screamed at each other.
- Rob Manfred
I thought you screamed at me more than I screamed you, but I remember —
- Michael Barbaro
And you guys have quite a long history.
- Mike Schmidt
We go way back.
- Rob Manfred
Sometimes you can’t make your point without raising a decibel or two, and that’s fine.
- Michael Barbaro
So what does Manfred tell you?
- Mike Schmidt
So he knows there’s a problem.
- Rob Manfred
We did fan-based research, and it was consistent over a period of years that fans wanted a game, brisker pace, more athleticism, more balls in play, and so they wanted that best form of baseball back.
- Mike Schmidt
It was because baseball is too boring?
- Rob Manfred
I don’t think it was too boring. I think that baseball changed.
- Mike Schmidt
He doesn’t say that baseball has a boring problem. But he confirms that there’s a real pace issue.
- Michael Barbaro
Right.
- Mike Schmidt
A speed of action and length of game. And he knows something has to be done, and he’s known that for a very long time.
- Rob Manfred
And by a year or two into my commissionership, I had a great consensus, we needed to fix this.
- Mike Schmidt
So why does it take seven more years?
- Rob Manfred
You know, it was — I know you’re going to laugh when I say this — an exercise of discretion on my part.
- Mike Schmidt
The problem for him is that he’s not truly a baseball guy. Was not a player, was not an owner, didn’t run a team.
- Rob Manfred
I thought, I’m kind of acting in a way that’s going to change what they’re doing on the field. I thought that was an explosive combination.
- Mike Schmidt
You’re the labor lawyer who’s going to come in and tell the baseball people how to play.
- Rob Manfred
Right. So —
- Michael Barbaro
So he may have a kind of cred issue.
- Mike Schmidt
Correct. So he knew that as that lawyer, he needed to take his time and be methodical. So over many years, almost a decade, he plots this change.
- Rob Manfred
— waiting until you got an agreement, so that the players understood it was coming.
- Mike Schmidt
Talking to players about them —
- Rob Manfred
Grew on ownership —
- Mike Schmidt
Getting the owners on board for it.
- Rob Manfred
We refined the rules.
- Mike Schmidt
Testing at the minor league level what these changes would be.
- Rob Manfred
I mean, my guys — we played 8,000 games in the minor leagues, literally, with these rules. You play 8,000 games, you realize this is an issue, and you need to make this —
- Mike Schmidt
Shepherding, ushering, cajoling the sport into this major change.
- Michael Barbaro
Right. Making sure everybody was comfortable with it, which takes time.
- Mike Schmidt
Correct. And all that work finally culminates in these new rules that are being rolled out this season.
- Michael Barbaro
So tell me more about these rule changes. You started to hint at them at the beginning of our conversation. Let’s do it in more depth — and how they’re supposed to actually fix baseball’s problems.
- Mike Schmidt
So again, there’s three big changes coming this season — the pitch clock, the bigger bases, and where fielders can stand in the field. So let me start with the fielders. Remember, we talked about those data-driven defenses — essentially, computers telling teams where players should be on the field.
- Michael Barbaro
Right, which, of course, encourages people at bat to just hit home runs over the fielders’ heads.
- Mike Schmidt
You can’t do that anymore. You have to have your infielders on the infield, and you have to have two on one side and two on the other. You can’t stack the defense on one side. And because of that, it opens up much more space for a player to hit a ground ball or a base hit up through the middle or through one of the holes.
- Michael Barbaro
Got it. And Mike, what about the pitch clock? What does that have to do with the home run?
- Mike Schmidt
On the face of it, it doesn’t have anything to do with the home run.
Sluggers will still be waiting for the perfect pitch. But the fact that there’s a clock means that the pitches will be coming more quickly, and the game will be moving faster. A ticker on your screen that gives the pitcher 15 or 20 seconds to deliver a pitch. And if the pitcher doesn’t pitch before the clock goes off, it’s a ball.
- Michael Barbaro
Got it.
- Mike Schmidt
And then, you have the larger bases.
- Michael Barbaro
Right.
- Mike Schmidt
One of the byproducts of the push for the home run meant that if you had a runner on base and you were looking at the numbers, you wouldn’t want the runner to try and steal. Because the risk of getting called out stealing was too great. Because if the batter hit the home run —
- Michael Barbaro
That person would never come home.
- Mike Schmidt
Correct.
- Michael Barbaro
And you wouldn’t get the extra run.
- Mike Schmidt
So it was worth it to not steal.
- Michael Barbaro
Mm-hmm. Of course stealing is exciting.
- Mike Schmidt
Stealing is exciting. It’s perhaps the most action packed non-home-run event of the game. And those larger bases — it just makes it easier to steal. And it also makes the game a bit safer. Because bigger bases gives more space and, potentially, less collisions.
- Michael Barbaro
Right.
- Mike Schmidt
At the same time, there’s a new rule that limits the number of times a pitcher can try and pick off a runner. The pitchers move to try and keep the runner close to the base, so they don’t steal.
- Michael Barbaro
Right, which is another thing that slows down baseball. I have endless memories of watching the pitcher seem like they’re going to pitch, stop, pivot. Oh, I might try to stop you from — it’s kind of endless.
- Mike Schmidt
Do you really have endless memories of that?
- Michael Barbaro
No, I have a couple of memories.
- Mike Schmidt
OK. [LAUGHS]
When the opposing team keeps on throwing over to first base, the fans start booing.
- Michael Barbaro
Right.
- Mike Schmidt
[SNORES]: Because it’s just slowing the game down. And now, there’s a limit on that.
- Michael Barbaro
So Mike, taken together, this is a campaign to make baseball more exciting by doing a few things — elevating the other parts of the game that aren’t home runs, like the base hit or the stolen base, and making those home-run-hitters just be less of a drag on the overall pace of the game.
- Mike Schmidt
Yeah. I mean, I think the way to look at it is that baseball is not trying to kick the home run.
- Michael Barbaro
Right.
- Mike Schmidt
They’re trying to kick the problems and things that come with it — that there’s other things going on —
- Michael Barbaro
Right.
- Mike Schmidt
— and there’s not things weighing it down.
- Michael Barbaro
Got it. I’m very curious, Mike, how baseball players, who Manfred feared might not like these changes, and fans have been reacting to these new rules.
- Mike Schmidt
Surprisingly, it’s been positive. Baseball is not something that lends itself to new, cutting-edge changes. It’s a sport where the players are set in their ways. And fans seem to have opinions about everything and want to debate each other on who the best players are and when the best times in baseball history were.
- Michael Barbaro
Right.
- Mike Schmidt
But I think, surprising, certainly, to me, and surprising to the baseball executives that are putting these new rules in place, it’s been embraced. These new moves to make it faster have actually made it faster. Spring training games are more than 20 minutes shorter than they were last year.
More balls are being hit in play. More players are trying to steal bases. But as Manfred and I talked about, the real test starts in the regular season —
- Michael Barbaro
Right.
- Mike Schmidt
— when the games actually matter.
- Mike Schmidt
What could go wrong?
- Rob Manfred
[LAUGHS]: Well, lots of stuff could go wrong. It’s a high-risk undertaking.
- Mike Schmidt
Why is it high-risk?
- Rob Manfred
Well, because if you go out on the field and things go badly, the first 10 games that are played — in high-leverage late-inning situations, they get decided based on a pitch clock rule. We don’t want to see that. The fans don’t want to see that. It could —
- Mike Schmidt
And in theory, you could imagine moments where teams blame a loss on one of these new rules, and it’ll all come down on Manfred.
- Rob Manfred
Baseball is different. It occupies a place in our culture that is very, very different. And it comes with the burden that when you make a mistake, people care a hell of a lot more about it than if it was in another sport. And you know, sooner or later, if the criticism gets to a certain point, they’ll find somebody else to take the job, and I’m OK with that. I really am.
- Michael Barbaro
Of course, there’s a very strong possibility that these rule changes won’t make Manfred a lightning rod, that they’re going to be embraced. Maybe they’re even going to be celebrated. Right? They’re going to make the sport better, and maybe even usher in a golden era in the sport.
- Mike Schmidt
Golden era? I don’t know about that. But a more appealing, faster, efficient product that is not going to take four hours to watch a nine-inning game? Good chance. And in that sense, we’re watching an American institution embrace new and different things, in a potentially positive way, which is, you know, progress.
- Michael Barbaro
Progress.
- Mike Schmidt
A bit remarkable.
- Michael Barbaro
Well, Mike, as always Thank you very much. Thanks for having me.
We’ll be right back.
Here’s what else you need to know today.
- Archived Recording 22
Mr. Speaker, I move the final passage of Senate Bill 150, the veto of the governor notwithstanding.
- Michael Barbaro
On Wednesday, Kentucky’s Republican-controlled legislature passed a sweeping law that restricts how health care workers and schools can treat transgender youth, overriding a veto of the bill by the state’s Democratic governor. The bill bans access to gender-affirming care for trans children, restricts which bathrooms they can use, and bars the discussion of gender identity or sexual orientation in the classroom.
Its passage was angrily opposed by Democratic lawmakers, including State Senator Karen Berg, whose transgender son died by suicide last year.
- Archived Recording (Karen Berg)
This is absolute, willful, intentional hate, hate for a small group of people that are the weakest and the most vulnerable among us.
- Michael Barbaro
And federal regulators have approved the sale of Narcan, a nasal spray that reverses opioid overdoses without a prescription, making it widely available as a life-saving treatment. The decision to sell Narcan over the counter could vastly reduce fatal overdoses, which have claimed the lives of tens of thousands of Americans over the past two years.
Today’s episode was produced by Rob Szypko and Carlos Prieto, with help from Will Reid and Mooj Zadie. It was edited by Lexie Diao, with help from Michael Benoist. It was fact-checked by Susan Lee, contains original music by Dan Powell, Elisheba Ittoop, and Diane Wong, and was engineered by Chris Wood.
Our theme music is by Jim Brunberg and Ben Landsverk of Wonderly.
That’s it for “The Daily.” I’m Michael Barbaro. See you tomorrow.
The Plan to Save Baseball From Boredom
Major League Baseball is putting in effect some of the biggest changes in the sport’s history in an effort to speed up the game and inject more activity.
As the 2023 season opens, Michael Schmidt, a Times reporter, explains the extraordinary plan to save baseball from the tyranny of the home run.
امیدواریم که از پادکست Daily New york Times لذت برده باشید همچنین برای یادگیری بیشتر توصیه میکنیم بخش آیلتس سایت رو ببنید.
همچنین برای تهیه ی کتاب های آموزشی زبان انگلیسی می توانید به سایت فرتاب مراجعه فرمایید.